
Fortune's Formula
The Untold Story of the Scientific Betting System That Beat the Casinos and Wall Street
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Narrated by:
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Jeremy Arthur
About this listen
In 1956 two Bell Labs scientists discovered the scientific formula for getting rich. One was mathematician Claude Shannon, neurotic father of our digital age, whose genius is ranked with Einstein's. The other was John L. Kelly Jr., a Texas-born gun-toting physicist. Together they applied the science of information theory - the basis of computers and the Internet - to the problem of making as much money as possible as fast as possible.
Shannon and MIT mathematician Edward O. Thorp took the "Kelly formula" to Las Vegas. It worked. They realized that there was even more money to be made in the stock market. Thorp used the Kelly system with his phenomenally successful hedge fund, Princeton-Newport Partners. Shannon became a successful investor, too, topping even Warren Buffett's rate of return. Fortune's Formula traces how the Kelly formula sparked controversy even as it made fortunes at racetracks, casinos, and trading desks. It reveals the dark side of this alluring scheme, which is founded on exploiting an insider's edge.
Shannon believed it was possible for a smart investor to beat the market - and Fortune's Formula will convince you that he was right.
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying reference material will be available in your Library section along with the audio.
©2005 William Poundstone (P)2017 Macmillan AudioListeners also enjoyed...
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- Human Nature and Human Individuality
- By: Judith Rich Harris
- Narrated by: Lisa S. Ware
- Length: 12 hrs and 12 mins
- Unabridged
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Why do people—even identical twins reared in the same home—differ so much in personality? Armed with an inquiring mind and insights from evolutionary psychology, Judith Rich Harris sets out to solve the mystery of human individuality.
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Interesting book
- By Anonymous User on 09-01-24
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Fooled by Randomness
- The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
- By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Narrated by: Sean Pratt
- Length: 10 hrs and 3 mins
- Unabridged
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This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work, and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes.
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Pass on this one and read The Black Swan
- By Wade T. Brooks on 06-25-12
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Superforecasting
- The Art and Science of Prediction
- By: Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
- Narrated by: Joel Richards
- Length: 9 hrs and 45 mins
- Unabridged
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Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.
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Great for Experts
- By Michael on 02-20-17
By: Philip Tetlock, and others
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The Drunkard's Walk
- How Randomness Rules Our Lives
- By: Leonard Mlodinow
- Narrated by: Sean Pratt
- Length: 9 hrs and 19 mins
- Unabridged
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In this irreverent and illuminating audiobook, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, chance, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious causes, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.
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Interested in statistics? This is the book.
- By Robert on 02-21-14
By: Leonard Mlodinow
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The Selfish Gene
- By: Richard Dawkins
- Narrated by: Richard Dawkins, Lalla Ward
- Length: 16 hrs and 12 mins
- Unabridged
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Richard Dawkins' brilliant reformulation of the theory of natural selection has the rare distinction of having provoked as much excitement and interest outside the scientific community as within it. His theories have helped change the whole nature of the study of social biology, and have forced thousands to rethink their beliefs about life.
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Better than print!
- By J. D. May on 07-31-12
By: Richard Dawkins
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Rock Breaks Scissors
- A Practical Guide to Outguessing and Outwitting Almost Everybody
- By: William Poundstone
- Narrated by: Joel Richards
- Length: 7 hrs and 59 mins
- Unabridged
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A practical guide to outguessing everything from multiple-choice tests to the office football pool to the stock market. People are predictable even when they try not to be. William Poundstone demonstrates how to turn this fact to personal advantage in scores of everyday situations, from playing the lottery to buying a home. Rock Breaks Scissors is mind-reading for real life.
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Very dry but worth the read
- By Luke on 07-28-14
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The Success Equation
- Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing
- By: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrated by: Wes Talbot
- Length: 8 hrs and 21 mins
- Unabridged
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In most domains of life, skill and luck seem hopelessly entangled. Different levels of skill and varying degrees of good and bad luck are the realities that shape our lives - yet few of us are adept at accurately distinguishing between the two. Imagine what we could accomplish if we were able to tease out these two threads, examine them, and use the resulting knowledge to make better decisions. In this provocative audiobook, Michael Mauboussin helps to untangle these intricate strands.
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Great clarity for sorting efforts and results
- By Philo on 01-16-13
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Damn Right
- Behind the Scenes with Berkshire Hathaway Billionaire Charlie Munger (Revised)
- By: Janet Lowe
- Narrated by: Tom Parks
- Length: 13 hrs and 25 mins
- Unabridged
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A must-listen biography from the author of the best-selling Warren Buffett Speaks.
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2019 audio of 1999 book
- By William J Brown on 03-10-20
By: Janet Lowe
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The Man Who Solved the Market
- How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution
- By: Gregory Zuckerman
- Narrated by: Will Damron
- Length: 10 hrs and 44 mins
- Unabridged
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Jim Simons is the greatest money maker in modern financial history. No other investor - Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, Ray Dalio, Steve Cohen, or George Soros - can touch his record. Since 1988, Renaissance's signature Medallion fund has generated average annual returns of 66 percent. The firm has earned profits of more than $100 billion; Simons is worth 23 billion dollars.
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Not worth it
- By Kindle Customer on 01-08-20
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The Gambler
- How Penniless Dropout Kirk Kerkorian Became the Greatest Deal Maker in Capitalist History
- By: William C. Rempel
- Narrated by: Fred Sanders
- Length: 13 hrs and 3 mins
- Unabridged
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The rags-to-riches story of one of America's wealthiest and least-known financial giants, self-made billionaire Kirk Kerkorian - the daring aviator, movie mogul, risk taker, and business tycoon who transformed Las Vegas and Hollywood to become one of the leading financiers in American business. Kerkorian combined the courage of a World War II pilot, the fortitude of a scrappy boxer, the cunning of an inscrutable poker player, and an unmatched genius for making deals.
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Not enough detail on his business life
- By Zahid Jafry on 06-12-18
What listeners say about Fortune's Formula
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- Robert wallace
- 07-28-22
One of my favorite books now
So many big names connected. If you are interested in gambling, markets, information theory, the mob, and the history of many famous smart people, you will love this book. It connects the histories of so many people, it is hard to really summarize. I think overall it is about the kelly formula, but it covers so many other formulas as well, and mostly covers people as they try to beat the systems and make money
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- K. Cuddeback
- 06-19-20
Great story. Small pronunciation quirks
I am used to "arithmetic" as a noun being pronounced differently from arithmetic as an adjective
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- Melinda C. Spears
- 08-15-21
Fascinating and gripping
Mobs, Fixed horse races, hedge funds losing billions in a few months. Fascinating.
I wish it had went over how to use the Kelly criterion which is what I came for but the story and reasoning in this book is incredible.
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- hasan
- 02-09-22
loved the book and recommended it.
awesome book. learned about statics and investment relationships. highly recommend thus book. it is not just about investment it could be used for life lesson.
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- William C Scott
- 10-28-20
Very entertaining. Also leads to much further research
I really enjoyed this book. It references most of the important figures that occupy the Venmo diagram of quantitative finance, gambling, and statistics/probability theory. Really cool listen.
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- Seamus Farrell
- 02-14-20
Incredible
A surprisingly varied and engaging story that connects wildly different ideas. A great story for any day
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- Felipe Politano Lange
- 01-11-22
Complete
A little long, but complete briefing of real (important) financial market for comum investor.
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- Evan Ratner
- 02-21-23
Kelly criterion but much more
This book has a rich detail of organized crime in America to the rise of quant hedge funds all tying back to Ed Thorpe. While Thorpe has his own autobiography the man who beat the market this book is an interesting companion
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- Hayk
- 01-27-25
Wonderful book
Really appreciated this book.
It highlights the importance of scientific thinking and the many benefits one can gain from utilizing it practically.
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- Michael
- 11-08-17
Could be MUCH shorter
Oddly the narrator repeatedly refers to the accompanying PDF which I could not find. I emailed support about this.
Nevertheless this was a fine book describing the Kelly formula for investment/betting decisions. This remarkably simple formula is powerful, widely applicable, and easy to understand. In fact, it is so easy to understand most of this book is unnecessary to understanding the formula. Much of the book is very mildly interesting stories about shady bookies and investment managers that have little, or nothing, to do with the Kelly Formula along with various other investment/betting strategies having nothing to do with the Kelly Formula.
I was not impressed with the presentation of the St. Petersburg Paradox. It is well described, but the underlying reason for the paradox seems to be completely missed. This is important because the book later discusses the differences between using the arithmetic verse geometric means. The important take away from the St. Petersburg Paradox is that any mean is worthless if the variance is too large. This variance problem is touched on elsewhere in the book, but it is not appropriately highlighted.
The narration is really excellent.
I enjoyed this book but it would have been better if much more focused on simply understanding the Kelly Formula.
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10 people found this helpful