• Whose stock market and economy is it—Biden’s or Trump’s?

  • May 1 2025
  • Length: 16 mins
  • Podcast

Whose stock market and economy is it—Biden’s or Trump’s?

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  • Summary

  • This podcast dives into the macro debate over whose economic agenda is shaping the market—Biden’s or Trump’s—against a backdrop of shifting trade policies and mixed economic data. It covers the imminent trade deals announced by U.S. Trade Representative Greer, discusses the impact of ongoing policy ambiguity, and highlights how underlying robust metrics such as real final sales and disposable income bolster confidence despite a headline GDP contraction. The discussion also outlines strategic portfolio guidance based on systematic signals from models like KISS and Dr. Mo, a detailed look at quantitative signals across different time horizons, and the implications of a prevailing deflation regime that favors defensive positioning. Key risks and opportunities are addressed, emphasizing the importance of adhering to systematic signals over reactive positioning.
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